Yup, it would have sold a million consoles. Particularly around Christmas, it's a big name franchise with a strong following among Nintendo fans. Without it we'll see the Wii U having an installed userbase over 7m before the end of the year.
Don't be bloody ridiculous. Donkey Kong Winter Desert would NOT have sold a million consoles. It wouldn't have sold half a million consoles. It wouldn't have sold a hundred thousand consoles.
They might have shifted about 300k copies of the software. (That's me being pretty generous. 300k would have made it one of the highest selling games on the console. But Donkey Kong isn't one of Nintendo's biggest or most popular IPs, and from what I've seen people aren't that keen for this particular instalment. But I'll be generous and say it'd shift 300k.) Of those 300k, at least 80% would be people who already own the console. (Again I'm being ridiculously generous there. It's more likely significantly over 90% of sales would be to pre-existing U owners, but I'll be ridiculously generous and say only 80%.
So if it sells 300k units and 20% of those are buying a console to play it on, Donkey Kong might have sold 60k consoles. Probably wouldn't be that many (20k is a much more reasonable estimate imo) but I've been generous throughout those calculations.
Not a million. Not even remotely close to a million.
Not in the same ballpark.
Not even close to that ballpark.
That ballpark is so far away it's over the horizon.
And my original 10-15m estimate was buggered by a ridiculous 9 month software drought which NO-ONE was expecting.
Your original 10-15m estimate was buggered by your mind-boggling bias toward Nintendo in recent years, your lack of understanding of the typical "gamer" demographic, current market forces, Nintendo's abject apathy toward marketing, and a lack of decent games on the platform.
It'll be 7m+ before the end of the year with Donkey Kong and Mario Kart 8 continuing momentum early next year.
Not even close.
As for the PS4 and One, they're both going to be supply constrained at launch and probably during the launch window. Sony and Microsoft will be lucky to ship more than 2m units worldwide before the end of the year.
Supply seems pretty fine, tbh. I believe you can still get both machines on launch day (though you'd need to shop around).
I don't think the ps4 or xb1 will sell very well in their first six months or so, though. Not because of supply limitations, nor because of competition from Nintendo (lolz), but primarily because there's not much reason to upgrade from current gen to next gen for the average gamer. The games aren't enough to make people upgrade, and the non-gaming elements aren't massive system sellers.
The PS3 sold 1.7m and the 360 sold 1.5m during their respective launch periods.
Completely irrelevant.
The market and the world in general are very different to eight years ago.
Some people are going to be surprised (and not pleasantly) by the sales of both the PS4 and One during their launch and launch window periods.
Agreed.
As for outdoing the Wii U's total sales, you might want to remember that the 360 had a 5.5m head start over the Wii and PS3 and it's only recently been overtaken by the PS3.
Irrelevant.
It'll take a couple of years at least before the PS4 or One sell more than the Wii U's total sales.
Agreed. Mainly because the ps4 and xb1 are expensive, whereas the U is falling into impulse-buy territory for a lot of people - and in most marketplaces cheap crap will outsell expensive top-end stuff.
